We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves to YES if the May 2028 edition of the US BLS statistics indicates the sum of employement in the following categories has declined by at least 5% from the May 2023 numbers:
Web and Digital Interface Designers
Graphic Designers
Interior Designers
Writers and Authors (includes copywriters for advertising etc, as well as authors and screenwriters)
May 2023 numbers are forthcoming.
Background: there's a perception that generative AI will replace creative workers, and therefore demand for workers like graphic designers and writers will fall dramatically. There's also a 2 year version of this market.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 14 |
| Volume | M531 |
Resolves to YES if the May 2028 edition of the US BLS statistics indicates the sum of employement in the following categories has declined by at least 5% from the May 2023 numbers:
Web and Digital Interface Designers
Graphic Designers
Interior...