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Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
74%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Last fall, I (Alyssa) got engaged to my boyfriend (Milo); right now we live together in downtown DC. We both like kids, but I am trans, so having a baby would be harder for us than it is for most couples.

This market resolves YES if there is a baby for whom Alyssa and Milo are the primary parents/caretakers before the year 2030, otherwise it resolves NO. The baby's genetics do not matter for purposes of this market, although I am super excited about the various projects to make gametes (eggs and sperm) from stem cells, and I really hope they'll work out.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters22
VolumeM1.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?
74%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-23

Last fall, I (Alyssa) got engaged to my boyfriend (Milo); right now we live together in downtown DC. We both like kids, but I am trans, so having a baby would be harder for us than it is for most couples.

This market resolves YES if there is a baby...

Last updated: 2025-04-23
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 22
Volume: M1.5k

Embed #

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