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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky is the recipient of a Turing Award before the year 2038.

Resolves NO if 2038 begins and Eliezer Yudkowsky has not yet been the recipient of a Turing Award.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters13
VolumeM424

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-29

Resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky is the recipient of a Turing Award before the year 2038.

Resolves NO if 2038 begins and Eliezer Yudkowsky has not yet been the recipient of a Turing Award.

Last updated: 2025-03-29
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 13
Volume: M424

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-ym9jPIegHCOi5Xw8Dlwm" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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