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If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
26%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

i.e. will Trump attempt to subvert the two-term limit? Must be a serious attempt, e.g. announcing he will run for re-election in 2028 or initiating some legal proceedings to repeal the 22nd. Idle wondering or trolling doesn't count.

Resolves N/A if Trump is not elected in 2024.

Resolves NO if Trump leaves or dies mid-way through his second term.

Resolves NO if a time-traveller occupies the white house for two weeks in his first-term and Trump wishes to stay an extra two weeks to compensate.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters24
VolumeM1.8k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
If Trump is re-elected in 2024, will he try to hold onto power after 2028?
26%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-26

i.e. will Trump attempt to subvert the two-term limit? Must be a serious attempt, e.g. announcing he will run for re-election in 2028 or initiating some legal proceedings to repeal the 22nd. Idle wondering or trolling doesn't count.

Resolves N/A if...

Last updated: 2025-05-26
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 24
Volume: M1.8k

Embed #

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