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Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as true if such a system is created and publicly announced before July 1st 2027

Here are markets with the same criteria:

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202-203f18122627

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202-cc476ae11c36

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-202

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2027 (this question)

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2028@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2029

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-203 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-1st-203-18f65a39a6d2

Yearwise markets:

@/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044

@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045

Related markets:

@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032

@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033

Other questions:

@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put

@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s

@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent

@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05

Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AGI_circuit_board.png

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters49
VolumeM3.0k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?
25%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-02

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...

Last updated: 2025-06-02
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 49
Volume: M3.0k

Embed #

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