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By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves to NO if no example is provided that is less than a googolplex at 12:00 01/01/2026.

Resolves to YES if an example is provided in the comments.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters16
VolumeM894

Capture #

Resizable preview:
By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-26

Resolves to NO if no example is provided that is less than a googolplex at 12:00 01/01/2026.

Resolves to YES if an example is provided in the comments.

Last updated: 2025-04-26
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 16
Volume: M894

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-yt8vJsB1VdkIYc7LKKTo" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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