[tweet]resolves YES if, before this market closes, Ye publicly, earnestly does any of the following:
calls himself trans/transgender
calls himself nonbinary
clearly identifies with any gender but solely and wholly male
overt jokes won't count, but nonlasting statements made out of mental illness or something will count as long as they're earnest at the time
Update 2025-04-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:
Relationship-based statements: Phrases that merely describe having nonbinary or trans relationships (e.g. dating or sexual encounters) do not count as Ye explicitly identifying as transgender, trans, or nonbinary.
Explicit self-identification required: Only a direct assertion by Ye (such as saying he is trans, transgender, or nonbinary) will satisfy the resolution criteria.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 30 |
| Volume | M1.2k |
[tweet]resolves YES if, before this market closes, Ye publicly, earnestly does any of the following:
calls himself trans/transgender
calls himself nonbinary
clearly identifies with any gender but solely and wholly male
overt jokes won't count,...