Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
75%
Likely
Yes

Question description

A previous Metaculus question asked if Iran would get a nuke by 2030, and other questions have also asked about Iran's substantial nuclear program.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts212

Capture

Resizable preview:
75%
Likely

A previous Metaculus question asked if Iran would get a nuke by 2030, and other questions have also asked about Iran's substantial nuclear program.

Last updated: 2024-05-05
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 212

Embed

<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-10244" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />