Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
50%About Even
Yes

Question description

Robert Hunter Biden, born February 4, 1970, is an American attorney who is the second son of current U.S. President Joe Biden and his first wife Neilia Hunter Biden. Biden is also a hedge fund, venture capital, and private-equity fund investor who formerly worked as a lobbyist, banker, public administration official, and registered lobbyist-firm attorney. Weeks before the 2020 United States presidential election, on October 14, 2020, the New York Post ran a story showing a screenshot of an alleged email from a top adviser to Ukrainian energy company Burisma to now-President Joe Biden's son Hunter, thanking him for the supposed opportunity to meet his father. The article alleges that this supports claims that Joe Biden used his political power to benefit his son Hunter in business dealings with Ukraine. At the time, other news organizations declined to publicise the story, on the basis that it was not possible to verify the information. In March 2022, the Washington Post reported: Thousands of emails purportedly from the laptop computer of Hunter Biden, President Biden’s son, are authentic communications that can be verified through cryptographic signatures from Google and other technology companies, say two security experts who examined the data at the request of The Washington Post. Further, CBS News reported: The federal investigation into Hunter Biden's business practices is broader than previously known, with multiple sources telling CBS News the probe is exploring whether the younger Biden and his associates violated tax, money laundering and foreign lobbying laws. Business records reviewed by CBS News and documents released by Republicans in Congress indicate Hunter Biden and his firm were involved in multiple financial transactions with a Chinese energy company called CEFC. Republicans allege that the company is an arm of the Chinese government. Subsequently, as reported by The Hill: A top legal analyst at CNN said it is possible President Biden’s son Hunter Biden could be indicted by the U.S. government following an investigation into his foreign business dealings. “This is a very real, very substantial investigation of potentially serious federal crimes,” Elie Honig said Wednesday morning on the network. “We are seeing federal prosecutors in Delaware do exactly what you would expect to see federal prosecutors do in this situation.” Honig said it appears the investigation into Hunter Biden’s business overseas is “gaining steam.” Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? This question resolves positively if before November 5, 2024, the date of the 60th quadrennial presidential election, Hunter Biden has been indicted in the United States on any charge(s) alleging violation of state or federal law. The question resolves negatively if this does not occur. No conviction is necessary for a positive resolution; this question concerns only indictment.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts248

Capture

50%About Even

Robert Hunter Biden, born February 4, 1970, is an American attorney who is the second son of current U.S. President Joe Biden and his first wife Neilia Hunter Biden. Biden is also a hedge fund, venture capital, and private-equity fund investor who...

Last updated: 2022-05-22
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 248