What will be the average unemployment in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?
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Larry Summers said
<iframe src="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/graph-landing.php?g=10B23&width=100%25&height=475" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="overflow:hidden; width:100%; height:550px;" allowTransparency="true" loading="lazy"></iframe>The Fed’s current policy trajectory is likely to lead to stagflation, with average unemployment and inflation both averaging over 5 percent over the next few years — and ultimately to a major recession. (2022-02-15)
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Last updated: 2023-11-28
Related Question on Metaculus:
- What will be the average inflation in the US from January 2022 to December 2024?
Larry Summers said
The Fed’s current policy trajectory is likely to lead to stagflation, with average unemployment and...
Last updated: 2023-11-28
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Forecasts: 92
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