Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
42%
About Even
Yes

Question description

Over 30 countries have universal healthcare in which all residents of a particular nation are assured access to medical treatment by their government.

Healthcare in the United States is currently a combination of private, nonprofit, and government providers, resulting in a system in which on a per capita basis, the US spends much more on healthcare than other developed countries.

While President Joe Biden currently does not support universal healthcare, some progressive politicians such as Bernie Sanders have endorsed single-payer coverage and recent polling data has shown that a majority of Americans say the federal government has a responsibility to make sure all Americans have healthcare coverage.

Will the US federal government pass legislation by 2040 to provide universal healthcare for American citizens?

The question will resolve positively if the US federal government passes legislation that creates a universal public healthcare system that provides medical coverage for every US citizen in the territorial United States before January 1 2040.

[fine-print] The legislation may also, but does not have, provide coverage for undocumented immigrants for this question to resolve positivity.

The US does not need to have a functioning public healthcare system by 2040 for this question to resolve positivity, just legislation to create this kind of system. [/fine-print]

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts115

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42%
About Even

Over 30 countries have universal healthcare in which all residents of a particular nation are assured access to medical treatment by their government.

Healthcare in the United States is currently a combination of private, nonprofit, and...

Last updated: 2023-03-22
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 115

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