In the history of Russia, failed military campaigns sometimes triggered large-scale conflicts within Russia. For example, the humiliating defeats of the Russo-Japanese War culminated in the 1905 Russian Revolution.
The possible defeat of Russia in the Russo-Ukrainian War, combined with the severe economic crisis, may trigger a comparable conflict. For example, a violent coup d'état, a civil war, a revolution, an armed secession movement.
| Indicator | Value | 
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆  | 
| Platform | Metaculus | 
| Number of forecasts | 1699 | 
In the history of Russia, failed military campaigns sometimes triggered large-scale conflicts within Russia. For example, the humiliating defeats of the Russo-Japanese War culminated in the 1905 Russian Revolution.
The possible defeat of Russia in...