If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?
Question description
A key part of the response to the next pandemic caused by a novel pathogen will be how quickly a treatment can be successfully tested and approved by FDA so that it can subsequently be widely deployed.
For context, during the COVID-19 pandemic there were 276 days from the first US laboratory-confirmed case on January 20, 2020 until the first FDA-approved treatment on October 22, 2020.
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 80 |
Capture
A key part of the response to the next pandemic caused by a novel pathogen will be how quickly a treatment can be successfully tested and approved by FDA so that it can subsequently be widely deployed.
For context, during the COVID-19 pandemic there...
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