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Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
66%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

The Nobel Prizes are five prestigious awards that are conferred annually to individuals that have made great contributions toward humankind.

AlphaFold (AF) is an AI program for the prediction of protein structures developed by DeepMind in 2018. It was iterated upon and a second version (AlphaFold 2, AF2) was released to the public in 2021. AF and AF2 placed first in the overall rankings of CASP13 and CASP14 respectively. It is widely regarded as a transformational leap the structural biology space [1].

[1] https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03348-4

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts107

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Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
66%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The Nobel Prizes are five prestigious awards that are conferred annually to individuals that have made great contributions toward humankind.

AlphaFold (AF) is an AI program for the prediction of protein structures developed by DeepMind in 2018. It...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 107

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