Will the US phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2030?

Metaculus
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23%
Unlikely
Yes

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In the U.S., immigration visas are limited to 140k per year. Of those, a maximum of 7% from the same country are permitted. For countries such as China and India, this means there are backlogs that can exceed the lifetime of an applicant.

The proposed 2021 EAGLE Act would have removed the 7% per-country cap for employment-based visas. The bill would also raise per-country caps for family-based green card petitions from 7% to 15%. This question is focused on the employment-based visa per-country limit.

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23%
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Related Question on Metaculus:

  • Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025?

In the U.S., immigration visas are limited to 140k per year. Of those, a maximum of 7% from the same country are permitted. ...

Last updated: 2024-05-15
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 46

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