Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
37%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

In the past, US presidents ran on the tickets of various different parties. However, since the administration of Franklin Pierce starting in 1853, all US presidents have been members of either the Democratic or Republican parties. This has granted these two parties an effective duopoly over American politics.

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts110

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37%
Unlikely

In the past, US presidents ran on the tickets of various different parties. However, since the administration of Franklin Pierce starting in 1853, all US presidents have been members of either the Democratic or Republican parties. This has granted...

Last updated: 2024-04-19
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 110

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