Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
Yes
Question description
In the past, US presidents ran on the tickets of various different parties. However, since the administration of Franklin Pierce starting in 1853, all US presidents have been members of either the Democratic or Republican parties. This has granted these two parties an effective duopoly over American politics.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 93 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
31%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2023-10-03
In the past, US presidents ran on the tickets of various different parties. However, since the administration of Franklin Pierce starting in 1853, all US presidents have been members of either the Democratic or Republican parties. This has granted...
Last updated: 2023-10-03
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 93
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