In every US presidential election from 1856 to 1908, the Republican and Democratic parties received the most or second-most popular votes. In 1912 former Republican president Theodore Roosevelt took second place, beating Republican nominee Taft. That feat has not since been repeated. See this image.
Yet about 56% of Americans say the US would be better represented by a third party, according to a September 2022 Gallup poll.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 22 |
In every US presidential election from 1856 to 1908, the Republican and Democratic parties received the most or second-most popular votes. In 1912 former Republican president Theodore Roosevelt took second place, beating Republican nominee Taft. That...