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Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
6%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Elon Musk is famous for many things. He is the CEO of Tesla, founder of The Boring Company and the CEO of Neuralink. Yet, perhaps Musk's most ambitious project is SpaceX, which aims to put humans on Mars in 2024 (as of the writing of this question).

Whereas putting anybody on Mars may already seem ambitious enough, Musk has also talked about perhaps going to the red planet himself. In<a href=' https://www.axios.com/elon-musk-mars-space-x-14c01761-d045-4da0-924b-322fb6a109ce.html'> an interview with Axios</a> Musk estimated his own chances of going to Mars at 70%.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts963

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Elon Musk personally go to Mars?
6%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Elon Musk is famous for many things. He is the CEO of Tesla, founder of The Boring Company and the CEO of Neuralink. Yet, perhaps Musk's most ambitious project is SpaceX, which aims to put humans on Mars in 2024 (as of the writing of this question)....

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 963

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