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Will "decision making under deep uncertainty" be mentioned in the UK Parliament in reference to Artificial Intelligence before 2031?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
49%
About Even
Yes

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"Decision making under deep uncertainty" (DMDU) is a set of methods and tools to help people do a better job of planning when they face a highly unpredictable future. Instead of relying on precise predictions, DMDU employs robust, adaptive strategies designed to perform well across a wide array of potential future scenarios.

DMDU could be applicable when considering how strategies to mitigate AI risk could perform under a range of plausible future conditions. It would be particularly interesting if a government were to intentionally apply DMDU in planning for AI scenarios. Yet to date, there is no mention of DMDU in the UK parliamentary record.

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts23

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Will "decision making under deep uncertainty" be mentioned in the UK Parliament in reference to Artificial Intelligence before 2031?
49%
About Even
Last updated: 2024-10-07

"Decision making under deep uncertainty" (DMDU) is a set of methods and tools to help people do a better job of planning when they face a highly unpredictable future. Instead of relying on precise predictions, DMDU employs robust, adaptive...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 23

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