Will SpaceX's non-launch revenue exceed its launch revenue before 2025?

Metaculus
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Yes

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SpaceX generates its income through various streams, the main one being launching rockets. However, it has diversified into other sectors, such as communications through its Starlink satellites, which also contribute significantly to its revenue.

Payload Space, a well-known source for space industry analytics, has developed a methodology for estimating SpaceX's revenue details and consistently publishes updates. Their February 2023 report estimated SpaceX's 2022 revenue as follows:

  • $2.4 billion from launch
  • $1.87 billion from Starlink services
  • $325 million from other sources

Payload Space's 2023 projections estimate Starlink revenue exceeding Launch revenue:

  • $5.265 billion from launch (projected)
  • $5.462 billion from Starlink (projected)
  • $825 million from other sources

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SpaceX generates its income through various streams, the main one being launching rockets. However, it has diversified into other sectors, such as communications through its Starlink satellites, which also contribute significantly to its revenue..

Last updated: 2024-04-18
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 31

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