Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
13%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

In January 2023, a report by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) found that the theft of IP (intellectual property) is a growing problem. The report found that the value of stolen IP is estimated to be between $2 trillion and $6 trillion per year. None, however, have been attributed to AI systems that probe for weaknesses. Recent high-profile examples of non-AI-based theft of IP include:

In 2022, a Chinese national was arrested in the United States for stealing trade secrets from GSK.

In January 2023, Riot Games, the developer of well-known video games League of Legends and Valorant, said that hackers recently stole the source code for some of its most popular games in a recent breach.

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts100

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13%
Unlikely

In January 2023, a report by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) found that the theft of IP (intellectual property) is a growing problem. The report found that the value of stolen IP is estimated to be between $2 trillion and $6...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 100

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