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Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
73%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Starting after the 2016 US Presidential election, Facebook (now Meta) began publishing quarterly reports on adversarial threats on their platforms. For example, in Q1 2023, Meta claimed they took action against 6 "coordinated inauthentic behavior" networks, two of which were from China, though none of which were specifically linked to AI. More background on the process is here.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts138

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Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election?
73%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Starting after the 2016 US Presidential election, Facebook (now Meta) began publishing quarterly reports on adversarial threats on their platforms. For example, in Q1 2023, Meta claimed they took action against 6 "coordinated inauthentic behavior"...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 138

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