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Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

The Millennium Prize Problems are a set of seven of the most notorious unsolved problems in mathematics that were stated by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. A correct solution to any of the problems results in a $1 million prize awarded by the institute.

As of now, only one of these problems, the Poincaré Conjecture, has been solved by Grigori Perelman in 2003. The remaining six problems: Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier–Stokes Existence and Smoothness, Riemann Hypothesis, Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap, and P vs NP , still remain unsolved.

This question asks whether an AI system will be credit to have solved one of these remaining six Millennium Prize Problems by the end of June 2025.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts110

Capture #

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Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

The Millennium Prize Problems are a set of seven of the most notorious unsolved problems in mathematics that were stated by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000. A correct solution to any of the problems results in a $1 million prize awarded by the...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 110

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