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Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

According to Wikipedia:

The Abraham Accords are a series of joint normalization statements initially between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain, effective since September 15, 2020.

The Accords were later joined by Morocco (2020) and Sudan (2021). As part of the dual agreements, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Morocco recognized Israel's sovereignty, enabling the establishment of full diplomatic relations.

The Biden Administration has made it a priority to include Saudi Arabia in the Abraham Accords, including appointing former U.S. Ambassador Daniel Shapiro as Senior Advisor for Regional Integration, tasked to "deepen and broaden the Abraham Accords".

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts790

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

According to Wikipedia:

The Abraham Accords are a series of joint normalization statements initially between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain, effective since September 15, 2020.

The Accords were later joined by Morocco (2020) and...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 790

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