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Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

One of the potential risks to Donald Trump’s presidential hopes in 2024 is whether a high profile Republican presidential candidate opts to run as an independent, sapping votes from centrist voters who dislike the former President but would otherwise vote along with their party.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts95

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

One of the potential risks to Donald Trump’s presidential hopes in 2024 is whether a high profile Republican presidential candidate opts to run as an independent, sapping votes from centrist voters who dislike the former President but would otherwise...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 95

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