Related questions on Metaculus:

• Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

• If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military forces?

• If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

With tensions in the Taiwan Strait at a boiling point, it has been reported that the United States is considering becoming militarily involved if an armed conflict breaks out in the region. Since the United States is the leading partner in NATO, it's possible that other NATO members could multilaterally be involved in a conflict, as happened in Iraq. Such a partner might be the United Kingdom, which fought in Iraq and has fought China several times before.