This question is inspired by the linked Long Bet between Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon.
The bet concerns US total factor productivity, which is a nice proxy for economic productivity and living standards.
"Where does 1.8 percent fit into the historical record? For perspective consider the productivity growth record over five intervals: 3.2 percent per year (1948-72), 1.5 (1973-95), 3.3 (1996-2004), 2.1 (2005-2009), and 1.1 (2010-2019). " - Robert Gordon
The question concerns the viability and efficacy of now emerging technologies and current economic trends in influencing total factor productivity growth for the 2020s.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 30 |
This question is inspired by the linked Long Bet between Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon.
The bet concerns US total factor productivity, which is a nice proxy for economic productivity and living standards.
"Where does 1.8 percent fit into...
<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-18556" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />