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Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Space-based carbon capture is a hypothetical concept based on the method of carbon removal in the International Space Station. The concept involves using specific technologies to capture and store atmospheric carbon dioxide to launch it into space. While the idea is still largely theoretical and presents various technical and ethical challenges, it represents an innovative approach that could add another tool in the fight against climate change.

Current carbon capture technologies focus mainly on terrestrial storage, such as injecting captured carbon into geological formations. However, the concept of space-based carbon capture opens new frontiers for consideration. It would require advancements in carbon capture technology, rocket propulsion, and storage solutions, as well as addressing numerous ethical concerns, such as the potential risks associated with launching potentially hazardous materials into space.

Given the increasing urgency of climate issues and the innovative potential of space-based carbon capture, will a proof-of-concept experiment be successfully completed before 2031?

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts36

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Space-based carbon capture is a hypothetical concept based on the method of carbon removal in the International Space Station. The concept involves using specific technologies to capture and store atmospheric carbon dioxide to launch it into space....

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 36

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