Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
3%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such intervention [2].

Sources

  1. GOP talk of military action in Mexico sparks dire warnings
  2. GOP embraces a new foreign policy: Bomb Mexico to stop fentanyl

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts31

Capture

Resizable preview:
3%
Very unlikely

During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such...

Last updated: 2024-02-23
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 31

Embed

<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-18612" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />