Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?
Yes
Question description
During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such intervention [2].
Sources
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 40 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07
During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 40
Embed
<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-18612" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />