Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such intervention [2].

Sources

  1. GOP talk of military action in Mexico sparks dire warnings
  2. GOP embraces a new foreign policy: Bomb Mexico to stop fentanyl

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts36

Capture

Resizable preview:
5%
Very unlikely

During the Republican presidential primary debate on August 23 2023, several candidates expressed willingness to deploy US military forces in Mexico to combat drug cartels [1]. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador has spoken against such...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 36

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