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Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
71%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

BRICS is a group of countries that includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, acting as a competitor and political counterweight to the G7 group of countries . In 2024, Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates will join the bloc. There are concerns that expanding BRICS will benefit China, while hurting more countries like India and Brazil, which share more developing economies compared to G7, but which have higher political or trade ties to Western countries comprising the G7.

In the case that political tensions grow between China (or China-leaning) and Western-leaning BRICS members, it is plausible that one or more BRICS countries will elect to leave the bloc.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts84

Capture #

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Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?
71%
Likely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

BRICS is a group of countries that includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, acting as a competitor and political counterweight to the G7 group of countries . In 2024, Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 84

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