When will the first post-2022 direct flight between Russia and Europe (EU or UK ) take place?
Question description
On February 24th, 2022, shortly after the start of Russia-Ukraine war, Boris Johnson banned Russian airlines from flying to the UK. EU soon followed and implemented restrictions on flights between EU and Russia lasting until 2029. Russia soon imposed mirror restrictions. As a result, direct air traffic between Russia and UK/EU has for all purposes ceased.
Resumption of air traffic would be indicative of a de-facto thawing of relations between Russia and Europe. Unlike a peace treaty, which can be but a formal statement of normalisation, this question addresses the practicalities of the transition into the post-war world. It is also a matter of practical importance to the growing Russian emigrée community. When will it happen?
Indicators
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 35 |
Capture
On February 24th, 2022, shortly after the start of Russia-Ukraine war, Boris Johnson banned Russian airlines from flying to the UK. EU soon followed and implemented restrictions on flights between EU and Russia lasting until 2029. Russia soon...
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