Note: This question is a looser operationalization of this other question.
As large language models (LLMs) become widely adopted and increasingly powerful, AI and cybersecurity experts are concerned that LLMs could potentially be used in the execution of cyberattacks and the production of viruses and worms.
This question asks whether a major cyberattack or significant virus or worm that uses LLMs will arise before 2025.
For the purpose of this question, a cyberattack, worm, or virus, will be considered major if any of the below scenarios occur as a result:
At least one person is killed
There is at least 10 million dollars worth of damage
a medical facility, government facility, or company with a market value of at least 100 million dollars is unable to continue basic functions at any given point because of such a cyberattack, worm, or virus.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 292 |
Note: This question is a looser operationalization of this other question.
As large language models (LLMs) become widely adopted and increasingly powerful, AI and cybersecurity experts are concerned that LLMs could potentially be used in the...