Will Israel lose control over the Golan Heights before 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
7%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

The Golan Heights is a 700 square mile territory recognized by the international community as Syrian territory. 500 square miles of it is occupied by Israel. Israel had de facto annexed it in the Six-Day War of 1967 and imposed its laws on the territory. The occupation is not recognized as legal under international law.

According to this article in the Jerusalem Post discussing a book on the subject, "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu considered a deal with Syria that would have seen Israel give up control of the Golan and have a demilitarized zone established along the Jordan river."

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts32

Capture

Resizable preview:
7%
Very unlikely

The Golan Heights is a 700 square mile territory recognized by the international community as Syrian territory. 500 square miles of it is occupied by Israel. Israel had de facto annexed it in the Six-Day War of 1967 and imposed its laws on the...

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 32

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