Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Metaculus
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45%
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Yes

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Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In 2023 Ukraine commenced a counteroffensive, though as of October 30, 2023, Ukraine's gains have been modest, and it remains unclear how the controlled territory will shift in the long run.

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PlatformMetaculus
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45%
About Even

Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In 2023 Ukraine commenced a counteroffensive, though as of October 30, 2023, Ukraine's gains have been modest, and it remains unclear how the controlled territory will shift in the long run.

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Last updated: 2024-02-23
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 158

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