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Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
20%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In 2023 Ukraine commenced a counteroffensive, though as of October 30, 2023, Ukraine's gains have been modest, and it remains unclear how the controlled territory will shift in the long run.

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Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts819

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
20%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022. In 2023 Ukraine commenced a counteroffensive, though as of October 30, 2023, Ukraine's gains have been modest, and it remains unclear how the controlled territory will shift in the long run.

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Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 819

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