MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
15%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

On November 19th, 2023, Argentina elected Javier Milei as President. His political party, the Libertarian Party will hold 7 of 72 seats in the upper house of Argentina's Congress and 38 of 257 in its lower house.

Milei has promised to fully dollarize the economy and get rid of the Argentinean peso which means the US dollar (USD) would be the only state-recognized form of exchange in Argentina. De facto dollarization, where citizens partially or primarily conduct their business in USD is arguably already the status quo in Argentina.

This move is controversial among economists with some in support due to what they see as irresponsible monetary policy by Argentina's central bank. It is opposed by others who note the logistical issues with dollarizing and monetary sovereignty concerns.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts160

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy before 2028?
15%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

On November 19th, 2023, Argentina elected Javier Milei as President. His political party, the Libertarian Party) will hold 7 of 72 seats in the upper house of Argentina's Congress and 38 of 257 in its lower house.

Milei has promised to fully...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 160

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-20056" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview