Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
Yes
Question description
Tensions are currently high between the Philippines and China after a boat collision in the South China Sea. This is the latest in a long series of disputes between the two countries. 93% of Filipinos are concerned about a military confrontation with China.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 36 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
18%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-05-15
Tensions are currently high between the Philippines and China after a boat collision in the South China Sea. This is the latest in a long series of disputes between the two countries. 93% of Filipinos are concerned about a military confrontation with...
Last updated: 2024-05-15
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 36
Embed
<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-20373" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />