Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
25%
Unlikely
Yes

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★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts36

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25%
Unlikely

Afghanistan and Pakistan have fought border skirmishes for many decades. Some have suggested that war between the two countries is likely now that the Taliban are back in charge of Afghanistan.

Last updated: 2024-05-05
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Metaculus
Forecasts: 36

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