Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales, during the next Parliament?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
20%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

A target set out in the 2019 Conservative manifesto for 300,000 homes a year by the mid-2020s was scrapped by Rishi Sunak last year and to date has not been replaced. 

Speaking to BBC One’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg at the start of Labour’s annual conference in Liverpool, Starmer said his party would set a target of 1.5m new homes over five years

Since 2017, on average, approximately 170k "dwellings" per year have been completed in England and Wales.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts23

Capture

Resizable preview:
20%
Unlikely

A target set out in the 2019 Conservative manifesto for 300,000 homes a year by the mid-2020s was scrapped by Rishi Sunak last year and to date has not been replaced. 

Speaking to BBC One’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg at the start of Labour’s...

Last updated: 2024-06-17
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 23

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