Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?
Yes
Question description
Previous Questions on Metaculus
- Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023?
- Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?
- Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023?
The city of Bakhmut in Ukraine has been heavily contested, and according to PBS the battle for Bakhmut has been "the longest and bloodiest battle of the war".
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has been tracking the war in Ukraine and charting the control of territory on its interactive map. As of December 21, 2023, the ISW shows central Bakhmut as under "assessed Russian control".
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 1035 |
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1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07
Previous Questions on Metaculus
- Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023?
- Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?
- Will Ukraine regain control...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 1035
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