Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
Yes
Question description
China has repeatedly asserted a claim to Taiwan since the beginning of independent Taiwanese governance in 1949. The tense relations between the two countries has led to fears of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 943 |
Capture
Resizable preview:
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07
China has repeatedly asserted a claim to Taiwan since the beginning of independent Taiwanese governance in 1949. The tense relations between the two countries has led to fears of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 943
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