Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description

China has repeatedly asserted a claim to Taiwan since the beginning of independent Taiwanese governance in 1949. The tense relations between the two countries has led to fears of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

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Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts870

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2%
Exceptionally unlikely

China has repeatedly asserted a claim to Taiwan since the beginning of independent Taiwanese governance in 1949. The tense relations between the two countries has led to fears of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 870

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