Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia in 1993, following a lengthy war for independence. Independence was followed by a major war between the two nations in 1998 and ongoing conflict until the two sides announced a peace declaration in 2018.
However, in October of 2023 the Ethiopian president raised concerns of a renewal of conflict when he discussed the importance of landlocked Ethiopia securing access to a port. According to Africanews:
In a televised speech on October 13, Abiy said that landlocked Ethiopia "is a nation whose existence is tied to the Red Sea", a key waterway for global trade.
He said Africa's second most populous country needed access to a port, adding: "If we plan to live together in peace, we have to find a way to mutually share with each other in a balanced manner."
Since then, Abiy has sought to alleviate regional fears, telling a military parade two weeks later that "Ethiopia will not pursue its interests through war. We are committed to mutual interest through dialogue and negotiation."
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 701 |
Eritrea gained independence from Ethiopia in 1993, following a lengthy war for independence. Independence was followed by a major war between the two nations in 1998) and ongoing conflict until the two sides announced a peace declaration in 2018..
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