Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
33%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description

As of the end of 2023, the legal landscape for cannabis in the United States has undergone significant changes, marking a departure from previous years. Recreational marijuana is now legal in 24 states and the District of Columbia. This represents a substantial increase from the earlier status when it was legal in only 9 states and DC. Additionally, medical marijuana has been legalized in 40 states and the District of Columbia.

Will this changing landscape at the state level influence federal policy? The Schedule I classification, as defined by the Controlled Substances Act, is reserved for substances with a high potential for abuse, no currently accepted medical use in treatment in the United States, and a lack of accepted safety for use under medical supervision. Given the growing acceptance and legalization of cannabis at the state level, there is increasing debate and speculation about potential changes to its federal classification.

Indicators

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts626

Capture

Resizable preview:
33%
Unlikely

As of the end of 2023, the legal landscape for cannabis in the United States has undergone significant changes, marking a departure from previous years. Recreational marijuana is now legal in 24 states and the District of Columbia. This represents a...

Last updated: 2024-04-18
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 626

Embed

<iframe src="https://https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/metaculus-20776" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />