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Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
30%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Iran and Saudi Arabia have been fighting a proxy war since the Iranian Revolution. They have not yet come to direct blows, and third party countries are attempting to mediate the dispute. Speculation abounds about the effect of the Israel-Hamas War on Iran-Saudi relations.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts25

Capture #

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Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Iran and Saudi Arabia have been fighting a proxy war since the Iranian Revolution. They have not yet come to direct blows, and third party countries are attempting to mediate the dispute. Speculation abounds about the effect of the Israel-Hamas War...

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 25

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