Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
8%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description

Beginning with China's entry to the nuclear club in the 1960s and culminating most recently with the development of China's naval power in the South China Sea and the threats to Taiwan, the US and China have experienced increasingly tense foreign relations over the last several decades. In addition, the US and China recently entered into a trade war in 2018 at the behest of the former President Trump. Questions now arise on the potential for a US-China cold war, or military conflict in the South China Sea.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts50

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8%
Very unlikely

Beginning with China's entry to the nuclear club in the 1960s and culminating most recently with the development of China's naval power in the South China Sea and the threats to Taiwan, the US and China have experienced increasingly tense foreign...

Last updated: 2024-05-29
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 50

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