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Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
4%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

As part of generally deteriorating relations, China and Taiwan have been playing something of a tit-for-tat trade restrictions game over recent months. This question asks about the possibility of a major escalation in this game.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts22

Capture #

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Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

As part of generally deteriorating relations, China and Taiwan have been playing something of a tit-for-tat trade restrictions game over recent months. This question asks about the possibility of a major escalation in this game.

Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 22

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