Will China ban all imports from Taiwan, except for electronic parts/inputs, before 2030?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
2%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description

As part of generally deteriorating relations, China and Taiwan have been playing something of a tit-for-tat trade restrictions game over recent months. This question asks about the possibility of a major escalation in this game.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts21

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Resizable preview:
2%
Exceptionally unlikely

As part of generally deteriorating relations, China and Taiwan have been playing something of a tit-for-tat trade restrictions game over recent months. This question asks about the possibility of a major escalation in this game.

Last updated: 2024-07-14
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 21

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