In 2021, the Taiwanese Defense Minister warned that tensions between Taiwan and China—which has repeatedly claimed that Taiwan is part of its territory—were at a 40-year high. And between trade restrictions and air defense zone incursions, relations between China and Taiwan have taken a turn for the worse since then. This question asks about the possibility of a major escalation, namely, that China carries out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure.
As context, assistant professor Chen Yi-fan from Taiwan's Tamkang University has suggested that cyberattacks could precede a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, making the invasion less costly on Chinese resources.
Indicator | Value |
---|---|
Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
Platform | Metaculus |
Number of forecasts | 48 |
In 2021, the Taiwanese Defense Minister warned that tensions between Taiwan and China—which has repeatedly claimed that Taiwan is part of its territory—were at a 40-year high. And between trade restrictions and air defense zone incursions.),...