Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
Yes
Question description
Since dropping atomic bombs on Japan in World War II, the U.S. has issued a number of nuclear threats, by some accounts, including against China, Cuba, and Vietnam.
Related questions:
- Will China make an official statement threatening nuclear use if there is interference with Taiwan?
- Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
- If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?
- If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
Indicators
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 50 |
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Resizable preview:
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07
Since dropping atomic bombs on Japan in World War II, the U.S. has issued a number of nuclear threats, by some accounts, including against China, Cuba, and Vietnam.
Related questions:
- Will China make an official statement threatening nuclear...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 50
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