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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Metaculus
★★★☆☆
5%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Since dropping atomic bombs on Japan in World War II, the U.S. has issued a number of nuclear threats, by some accounts, including against China, Cuba, and Vietnam.

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IndicatorValue
Stars
★★★☆☆
PlatformMetaculus
Number of forecasts50

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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
5%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2024-10-07

Since dropping atomic bombs on Japan in World War II, the U.S. has issued a number of nuclear threats, by some accounts, including against China, Cuba, and Vietnam.


Related questions:

  • Will China make an official statement threatening nuclear...
Last updated: 2024-10-07
★★★☆☆
Metaculus
Forecasts: 50

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