Due to recent constitutional changes, the largely ceremonial role of President of Georgia is no longer determined through direct elections but instead through a 300 member college of electors, of whom half are members of Parliament. No debate on the Parliament floor is permitted prior to the vote.
Therefore, the pivotal factor in determining the president will be the parliamentary elections. The Georgian Dream Party has been a strong force in the country, and it currently has 75 seats, which is 1 short of a majority. Since its founding in 2012, it has won a majority of seats in the 2012, 2016, and 2020 elections.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 116 |
Due to recent constitutional changes, the largely ceremonial role of President of Georgia is no longer determined through direct elections but instead through a 300 member college of electors, of whom half are members of Parliament. No debate on the...