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The Communist Party of China has controlled all of Mainland China since 1950, Hong Kong since 1997, and Macau since 1999. The only part of "China" it does not control is Taiwan, which is controlled by the Republic of China. As of 2024, it is stable, but anti-party sentiment is growing, especially among the youth.<br><br> Many Western experts warn of a population crash that has the potential to nearly halve China's 2024 population by 2100. There is also a risk of a GDP plateau, similar to what Japan experienced in the 1990s. These crises, coupled with growing mistrust of the CCP following the overreactive COVID-19 lockdowns, have eroded party trust in much of China's populace.
See Also
The Diplomat: China’s Economy Might Be Down, But Don’t Expect Regime Collapse
Foreign Policy: When Will China’s Government Collapse?
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 27 |
The Communist Party of China has controlled all of Mainland China since 1950, Hong Kong since 1997, and Macau since 1999. The only part of "China" it does not control is Taiwan, which is controlled by the Republic of China. As of 2024, it is...