Nigel Paul Farage, born 3 April 1964, is a British politician who has served as the leader of Reform UK since June 2024, having previously been the leader of the UK Independence Party and the Brexit Party. Farage was a leading figure in the Brexit movement.
In the 2024 UK general election to be held on July 4, Farage is contesting the constituency of Clacton in Essex.
Opinion polling suggests that the ruling Conservative Party, in power for 14 years, is on the verge of an unprecedentedly catastrophic defeat, and Prime Minister Rishi Sunak may even lose his own seat. Some observers suggest the Conservative Party is facing an existential threat, and may go extinct as a political force.
The expected scale of Tory losses has led some to speculate that Farage may emerge as a major opposition force during a Labour government, and Farage himself has said he aims to position himself as an alternative Prime Minister by 2029.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★★☆☆ |
| Platform | Metaculus |
| Number of forecasts | 45 |
Nigel Paul Farage, born 3 April 1964, is a British politician who has served as the leader of Reform UK since June 2024, having previously been the leader of the UK Independence Party and the Brexit Party. Farage was a leading figure in the Brexit...